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Low bar for new Congress


Washington (CNN) -- The bar has never been lower for the nearly 100 freshmen of the 113th Congress who were sworn-in on Thursday.

After all, it won't take much to exceed the abysmal approval rating of the previous Congress.

Despite the usual burst optimism of a freshman class on Capitol Hill and the sentiment to reach across the aisle and dissolve partisan gridlock, recent history shows those pledges are destined to falter like so many New Year's resolutions.

"On the day people are sworn in they are entitled to dream," said Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginia's Center for Politics. "The idea that they are going to bridge the unbridgeable gap between the two parties is indeed a dream."

The new Congress faces many of the same stubborn issues that make partisanship in a politically divided country difficult to achieve.

Although Washington averted the worst aspects of the fiscal cliff earlier this week, the automatic spending cuts, or sequester, that were a centerpiece of that debate for months but cut out of the final deal at the last minute are coming around again in February.

At about the same time, lawmakers will have to consider raising the nation's debt ceiling, or the ability of the Treasury to borrow money to pay the nation's bills. Both sides are already digging in on spending and debt.

A fresh controversy involves assistance to victims of Superstorm Sandy. An aid bill approved by the Senate was shelved on Tuesday night by House Speaker John Boehner over concerns that voting on a big spending package immediately after approving a fiscal cliff deal that excluded deficit reduction would send a bad political signal.

New York and New Jersey politicians were incensed at Boehner's inaction, prompting New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie to growl: that this is "why the American people hate Congress."

A scaled-back version of $9 billion for immediate aid for flood insurance will be considered by both houses on Friday. Lawmakers will weigh the balance of the $60 billion plan later this month.

Further out on the horizon is an expected fight over gun control, a high priority for the White House in the aftermath of the Connecticut school massacre that will face push back from congressional members with high ratings and big dollar donations from gun rights advocates.

Immigration reform, another White House priority, will also stoke ideological differences and test the demographic shifts in Congress.

All in all, the sharp divisions on Capitol Hill are still evident and expectations for meaningful progress on substantive issues are not high.

"My sense is that things are not going to be that different because the fundamental divisions that existed in the previous Congress are still there," said Alan Abramowitz, a political science professor at Emory University.

"We still have a Democratic Senate and Republican House. We still have a divided Congress. The ideological divisions between the parties are as great as they were in the last Congress," he said.

The divide is widened by a continued attrition of moderates, who lost or retired from seats on both sides of the aisle in both chambers.

But on the other side of the question there have been subtle shifts in numbers and other changes that could make a difference in how votes on some issues play out, political experts say.

Republicans retained control of the House in November but Democrats gained seats there and expanded their control of the Senate. Republicans now fill 234 seats in the new House, down from 242. There are 201 House Democrats, up from 193.

In the Senate, voters handed two former GOP seats to Democrats for a new balance of 55-45. The 55 Democratic seats include two independents who caucus with the party.

For the first time, the House Democratic caucus is dominated by women and racial minorities, while the Republican caucus in that chamber is largely comprised of white men. Over in the Senate, 20 women—the largest number in history—will be sworn in.

The increased diversity "means that we reflect America more," said newly-elected Illinois Democrat Rep. Tammy Duckworth. "You know the district where I come from is a very diverse district and it is good to see Congress starting to look more like the rest of America. And you see the demographic shifts that are happening across the country."

Partisanship remains strong, however, political experts say.

Read the entire story at CNN.com

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